Stock market tips and experiences

MrPrena · 05-20-2015, 11:23 PM

TWTR might look delicious at 32ish.

NemesisX · 05-20-2015, 11:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrPrena

TWTR might look delicious at 32ish.

Going to keep an eye on twitter. Thanks for the heads up! I've never bought twitter shares before but if they're closing in on an all time low it's extremely tempting.

deeLow · 05-21-2015, 04:53 AM

Definitely picking up twtr soon. I missed FB at 18, twtr in low 30's multiple times and aapl back at 92.

I always tell myself to buy these 3 and I always buy something else. Not anymore

GORDON.M3 · 05-21-2015, 07:56 AM

thinking about BABA.

MrPrena · 05-22-2015, 03:50 AM

Anyone applying for Lumber Liquidator CEO position here?
If you can turn this company around within 6-18mo, you will probably get a CEO of the year.

Nkc · 05-22-2015, 03:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrPrena

Anyone applying for Lumber Liquidator CEO position here?
If you can turn this company around within 6-18mo, you will probably get a CEO of the year.

That 60 minutes segment really hit them hard.

MrPrena · 05-22-2015, 05:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nkc

That 60 minutes segment really hit them hard.

yup. Mistakes happens (which was 10% of their top line+possible settlements), but executives/boards doing nothing to prevent a "falling knife" was more depressing. Incompetent executives.

Their new CEO should be ones with PhD in biochem+legal+20 yrs in experiences in big pharma/biotech. Biggest challenge will be WHO will be dumb enough to use their reputation, skills, and their own hands to stop the falling knife.

ska///235i · 05-22-2015, 12:26 PM

Whats a good buy price for twtr?

PoorLurker · 05-22-2015, 12:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ska///235i

Whats a good buy price for twtr?

How long do you plan to hold the stock?

ska///235i · 05-22-2015, 01:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PoorLurker

Quote:

Originally Posted by ska///235i

Whats a good buy price for twtr?

How long do you plan to hold the stock?

Should be a ST trade

BayMoWe335 · 05-22-2015, 01:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by deeLow

Definitely picking up twtr soon. I missed FB at 18, twtr in low 30's multiple times and aapl back at 92.

I always tell myself to buy these 3 and I always buy something else. Not anymore

What exactly about TWTR's business is appealing? The stock being in the 30s is no accident. They have never been profitable, their revenue growth last quarter was abysmal, and they are still just a website.

Do you understand how they make money?

I'm my opinion, TWTR should ONLY be a short term trade on a potential bounce. Even at a $23b valuation, it seems expensive to me. Why should it go higher other than speculation?

MrPrena · 05-22-2015, 04:46 PM

^ Yeah. TWTR at this current valuation is basically a trade.
Costolo will bring 10^5 different ways to measure their subscription metrics. He was doing that for about 5 straight quarter?

Nismo G · 05-23-2015, 01:09 PM

I think TSLA is getting high again and should be ready for a little pull back. I think a fun trade would be buying some out of the money puts 2 months out. All of the moving averages are starting to tighten up, shorter term RSI is around 70 against a longer term which is around 68, which means it's losing some strength. I'd wait for confirmation when a shorter crosses longer (similar to watching a "death cross" in SMA's or EMA's"). I'd look for a move back to $230 and then a bounce off that, unless it violates it on a gap down. Volume has been below the 50day average for about 8 days as well. Could be a fun trade though

MrPrena · 05-23-2015, 02:28 PM

^ I would agree, but TSLA fantards can always drive this stock up anytime.

When Elon writes "Yippie!" "BOO" or "AH HA!" on a twitter, TSLA Fantards will 2nd mortgage their house and gets all in.

Nismo G · 05-23-2015, 03:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrPrena

^ I would agree, but TSLA fantards can always drive this stock up anytime.

When Elon writes "Yippie!" "BOO" or "AH HA!" on a twitter, TSLA Fantards will 2nd mortgage their house and gets all in.

HAHA this is so true. It was just $195 a couple weeks ago...your point exactly. That is why i would play options and not short the stock. Out of the money put options is only going to throw you back a few hundred too.

$230 put expiring July 17 you can buy for about $6.00 and calculating a $17.00 move to the downside in 10 days that option would be worth about $11.00. Almost a 100% return.

why not lol

MrPrena · 05-25-2015, 11:29 PM

Some say Greece is baked in, but who knows? More bad news they bring, it might bring high betas down.
BTW, Asian shares are down, so it would be an interesting open at 9:30 ET.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nismo G

HAHA this is so true. It was just $195 a couple weeks ago...your point exactly. That is why i would play options and not short the stock. Out of the money put options is only going to throw you back a few hundred too.

$230 put expiring July 17 you can buy for about $6.00 and calculating a $17.00 move to the downside in 10 days that option would be worth about $11.00. Almost a 100% return.

why not lol

III Caruso III · 05-26-2015, 01:06 PM

I haven't read though the 142 pages on Technical Analyst.
What book would you recommend for a beginner?
Is anyone in Chicago area?
Thank you everyone.

PSUSMU · 05-26-2015, 01:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by III Caruso III

I haven't read though the 142 pages on Technical Analyst.
What book would you recommend for a beginner?
Is anyone in Chicago area?
Thank you everyone.

I would suggest reading the 142 pages on technical analysis.
http://www.e90post.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=44

MrPrena · 05-27-2015, 10:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by III Caruso III

I haven't read though the 142 pages on Technical Analyst.
What book would you recommend for a beginner?
Is anyone in Chicago area?
Thank you everyone.

1. DO all the reading and get to know what indicators of this and that on all variety of analysis. It just means, you know the terms and definition.
2. Although some thinks reading yahoo finance, barrons, wsj are consider market expert, they are past stories. Still learn and keep current with the market.
3. DO not listen to turds who will bring stuff like EMH and other hypothesis to the teeth. Market is not a natural science. If you know what you are doing, you will do good. If you are not, you won't.
4. Start using econ/fnce theory, data, stat, metrics to the test. See how good you are and look at next weeks result not just on the individual stock, but entire macro data, and indicies.
5. Some guys think that looking at Yahoo Finance fundamental data which is TTM is Fundamental analysis. You are living 12mo behind. Look at what new business will change the inc statement, bal sheet etc. If XYZ is about to lower the price of some widget, calculate it accordingly for quarter and beyond. YES, it is a lot of work.
6. Cock eye draw a "linear line" on a past 52wk chart is NOT a technical analysis. I've seen CMT's FORCE SHOVING P(t)=SIN t on volitility days. LOL. no no no.
7. You are free to listen to others, but you gotta do your own DD.

ASBSECU E93 · 05-27-2015, 10:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 8k3

When is a good time to buy?

2002 @ $15 / share

...at least thats what I did

MrPrena · 05-28-2015, 12:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ASBSECU E93

2002 @ $15 / share

...at least thats what I did

You know... that $15 was probably pre-pre-pre split price too.
I remember buying $30ish at around 2003-4 , which was pre-pre-pre split price. (sold for 35% gain, and never looked back)

Do you remember apple "computer" itune, ipod hype? and analysts were focusing mainly on Mac sales? lol

MrPrena · 05-28-2015, 05:48 AM

Ah crap! I just woke up and saw this crap?
I guess I did NOT see the Chinese market like a hawk...

Quote:

China stocks plunge 6.5%, worst selloff in 4 months
CNBC By See Kit Tang
2 hours ago

Mainland markets were the biggest losers in the region on Thursday, as fears over tighter requirements on margin financing ignited risk-off sentiment. The rest of the region, meanwhile, shrugged off an inspiring lead from the U.S. overnight to trade mixed.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-...080626582.html

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrPrena

Retail sector sucks. Reminds me of 2001 and 2007-8 when retail went to the crap before majority of other sectors did.

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrPrena

As for me, I am watching mainly retail who sells inferior/necessities.
-Casual Diners
-Fast foods
-Retails
-low end etails (also non-diversed)

This really reminds me of 6-8mo before the 1st -500 DJIA decline day in 2008. Although internet right now blame it on earnings, I believe CNBC that day was more focus on Chinese slow down.
After those sectors, I would be looking at data from Chinese like a hungry Hawk.

Historically, it is election season as well....

05-20-2015, 11:23 PM	#4995
MrPrena Captain 1588 Rep 803 Posts Drives: BMW Hyundai Nissan Join Date: Jan 2014 Location: TB iTrader: (0)	TWTR might look delicious at 32ish. __________________ Beware of Jeff Oliver the fraud at Highland Expedition Outfitters (aka HEO or HEOutfitters) located in Cosby TN.
	Appreciate 1 Quote

05-21-2015, 04:53 AM	#4997
deeLow DOPE 148 Rep 758 Posts Drives: F80 Join Date: Jan 2014 Location: Earth iTrader: (2)	Definitely picking up twtr soon. I missed FB at 18, twtr in low 30's multiple times and aapl back at 92. I always tell myself to buy these 3 and I always buy something else. Not anymore
	Appreciate 0 Quote

05-21-2015, 07:56 AM	#4998
GORDON.M3 Brigadier General 1423 Rep 3,002 Posts Drives: E92 M3 • F25 X3 M-Sport Join Date: Dec 2013 Location: LAX/YYZ/NRT iTrader: (11)	thinking about BABA.
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05-22-2015, 03:50 AM	#4999
MrPrena Captain 1588 Rep 803 Posts Drives: BMW Hyundai Nissan Join Date: Jan 2014 Location: TB iTrader: (0)	Anyone applying for Lumber Liquidator CEO position here? If you can turn this company around within 6-18mo, you will probably get a CEO of the year. __________________ Beware of Jeff Oliver the fraud at Highland Expedition Outfitters (aka HEO or HEOutfitters) located in Cosby TN.
	Appreciate 0 Quote

05-22-2015, 12:26 PM	#5002
ska///235i ***** noob 1369 Rep 10,479 Posts Drives: 325xi>M235i>428GCx Mspor Join Date: Sep 2005 Location: Boston iTrader: (34) Garage List 2006 325xi [0.00]	Whats a good buy price for twtr? __________________ 2006 325xi (Sold) 2014 M235I (Current) 2015 428xi Gran Coupe (STB)
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05-22-2015, 04:46 PM	#5006
MrPrena Captain 1588 Rep 803 Posts Drives: BMW Hyundai Nissan Join Date: Jan 2014 Location: TB iTrader: (0)	^ Yeah. TWTR at this current valuation is basically a trade. Costolo will bring 10^5 different ways to measure their subscription metrics. He was doing that for about 5 straight quarter? __________________ Beware of Jeff Oliver the fraud at Highland Expedition Outfitters (aka HEO or HEOutfitters) located in Cosby TN.
	Appreciate 0 Quote

05-23-2015, 01:09 PM	#5007
Nismo G Second Lieutenant 50 Rep 243 Posts Drives: 2008 335xi Sedan Join Date: Jul 2014 Location: Sarasota, FL iTrader: (1)	I think TSLA is getting high again and should be ready for a little pull back. I think a fun trade would be buying some out of the money puts 2 months out. All of the moving averages are starting to tighten up, shorter term RSI is around 70 against a longer term which is around 68, which means it's losing some strength. I'd wait for confirmation when a shorter crosses longer (similar to watching a "death cross" in SMA's or EMA's"). I'd look for a move back to $230 and then a bounce off that, unless it violates it on a gap down. Volume has been below the 50day average for about 8 days as well. Could be a fun trade though __________________ Current: 08 335xi Sedan - ST Suspension Coilovers - M3 Front Strut Brace - COBB Stage 1 - ECS Tuning Chargepipe + BOV - aFe Stage 2 Intake - Precision Raceworks Ignition Coils
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05-23-2015, 02:28 PM	#5008
MrPrena Captain 1588 Rep 803 Posts Drives: BMW Hyundai Nissan Join Date: Jan 2014 Location: TB iTrader: (0)	^ I would agree, but TSLA fantards can always drive this stock up anytime. When Elon writes "Yippie!" "BOO" or "AH HA!" on a twitter, TSLA Fantards will 2nd mortgage their house and gets all in. __________________ Beware of Jeff Oliver the fraud at Highland Expedition Outfitters (aka HEO or HEOutfitters) located in Cosby TN.
	Appreciate 1 Quote

05-26-2015, 01:06 PM	#5011
III Caruso III Private 16 Rep 54 Posts Drives: 05 EB EVO8 WLTB: AW 1M Join Date: Jun 2014 Location: Far West Chicago Burbs, IL iTrader: (0)	I haven't read though the 142 pages on Technical Analyst. What book would you recommend for a beginner? Is anyone in Chicago area? Thank you everyone.
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